Here’s the first line of a story on the new Crop poll taken in Quebec:
“A new poll paints devastating picture of a Liberal party completely reduced to a rump in Quebec if an election were held today.”
Reduced to a rump? In 2006 the Liberals got 21% of the vote and now they are at 20% support. Doing the actual seat projections shows that they stand to actually gain 5 seats compared to 2006 due to the erosion of support from the Bloq and the greater equity in support among all parties.
So, the lesson is that the opinions expressed in our national media are often nothing but ill-informed water cooler chatter. The full seat projections based on the Crop results would be as follows:
BQ = 36
CPC = 20
LIB = 18




